SD1H4H — Silver (XAG/USD) Multi-TF Structure Backtest Variant Model (LuxAlgo)

Dukascopy 1-minute BID data, Jan 2022 → present · Silver (XAG/USD) (XAGUSD)
← All Markets Overview Strategy A Strategy B Trade Viewer Regime Analysis Entry Filters Trading Costs Monte Carlo ← Original Model
Both strategies mandatorily require the 1H close to be aligned with the EMA(50) on 1H (above for longs, below for shorts) — this filter is always on. Wick-confirmation (V1.3) and event-driven bias are both enabled, matching the indicator's defaults. Each trade is tagged BOS when the 1H break agrees with the 4H bias (WithHTF continuation), or CHoCH when it fires against the 4H bias (CounterHTF reversal) — both are valid entries per the strategy rules.

Strategy A

Entries fire on a 1H BOS/CHoCH aligned with 4H bias (WithHTF_BOS + CounterHTF_CHOCH), filtered by EMA(50) on 1H. Stop is placed behind the last opposite 1H candle (V1.2 rule, max 30-bar lookback). Exit is a runner: closes on stop-hit or on an opposing 1H BOS/CHoCH.

Trades
81
Win Rate
24.69%
Avg R / Trade
+0.18
Total R
+14.77
Profit Factor
1.254
Max Drawdown
-19.62R
Avg Win / Avg Loss
+3.64 / -0.95
Long / Short
42 / 39
Stop / Opp-Break Exits
55 / 26
Std Dev (R) / Sharpe-like
2.93 / 0.06
Max Win / Loss Streak
4 / 18

By Signal Type

BOS WithHTF continuation
Trades
34
Win Rate
14.71%
Avg R
+0.18
Total R
+6.30
Profit Factor
1.225
Max Drawdown
-15.55R
CHoCH CounterHTF reversal
Trades
47
Win Rate
31.91%
Avg R
+0.18
Total R
+8.47
Profit Factor
1.282
Max Drawdown
-6.17R
Cumulative R by signal typeAccount balance by signal type

Strategy B

Identical entry logic and stop rule to Strategy A. The only difference is the exit: the position is held until stop-hit, or until a newly-closed 4H bar prints an opposing BOS/CHoCH — a slower, higher-timeframe trailing exit instead of reacting to 1H structure.

Trades
47
Win Rate
12.77%
Avg R / Trade
+0.70
Total R
+32.71
Profit Factor
1.798
Max Drawdown
-22.11R
Avg Win / Avg Loss
+12.29 / -1.00
Long / Short
25 / 22
Stop / Opp-Break Exits
41 / 6
Std Dev (R) / Sharpe-like
7.38 / 0.09
Max Win / Loss Streak
1 / 13

By Signal Type

BOS WithHTF continuation
Trades
17
Win Rate
5.88%
Avg R
-0.30
Total R
-5.14
Profit Factor
0.679
Max Drawdown
-11.00R
CHoCH CounterHTF reversal
Trades
30
Win Rate
16.67%
Avg R
+1.26
Total R
+37.85
Profit Factor
2.514
Max Drawdown
-15.87R
Cumulative R by signal typeAccount balance by signal type

Equity Curves (Cumulative R)

Equity curve comparison

Account Balance ($1,000 start, 1% risk/trade, compounding)

Risk is 1% of the CURRENT balance on every trade, so wins and losses compound — this is a very different picture from the flat-R curves above, which assume constant risk per trade.

Account balance comparison

Data range: 2022-01-02 00:00:00 → 2026-08-21 23:00:00  ·  34,656 1H bars  ·  8,664 4H bars